Spain to bear between 3 and 6 degrees maximum temperature in 60 years, particularly for the period 2071-2100, compared to reference values from 1961 to 1990. This was reported on Tuesday the State Meteorological Agency (AEMET), introducing new regionalized climate change projections, which indicate a trend towards reduced rainfall.
The decrease in rainfall will be felt in the second half of the century
The report, which was presented by Secretary of State for Climate Change, Teresa Ribera, and AEMET president, Ricardo García Herrera, indicate that the increase in the minimum temperature will be between 2 and 5 degrees.
As for precipitation, the projections show a greater dispersion of data, although in the first half of the century there is no significant trend in precipitation of mainland Spain, yes there is a tendency to reduce the same in the second half XXI century. For the last decade of the century would probably be placed in a range of 15 to 30% compared to precipitation in the period 1961-1990.
"20% less rainfall"
In Spain, as reported by the Meteorological Agency, there has been a slight warming until the late forties and a slight cooling until the beginning of the seventies. From 1980 he began to produce a warming trend that continues today.
In this report, updated AEMET regionalized scenarios using data from global models of the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) approved in Valencia in 2007.
The scenarios provide estimates of the potential traits and develop future climate scenarios impactosLos studies are estimates of the potential traits and develop future climate impacts and vulnerability studies on ecological, economic and social. To build these scenarios "you have from global climate models tailored to the characteristics of our country," said Teresa Ribera.
The information filed today is available on the website of the State Agency and presents graphs that correspond to mainland Spain and the seventeen autonomous communities, annual and seasonal scale. This service is based mainly on three climate variables are the maximum temperature, minimum temperature and precipitation being able to choose the outcomes at an annual or seasonal.
For Ricardo Garcia could "talk about a 20% decrease in rainfall at the end of the century until 2050 but in general no significant trend in terms of less rainfall." This does not mean, says the president of the AEMET, "we go to a desert climate but we move in a climate with less rainfall and temperatures over which there will be more problems to handle the current water cycle."
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This post was done by Laura Patiño and Luis Carlos Cardona
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